Вот что говорит AI
The future of the Russian ruble is uncertain and influenced by various factors, including economic sanctions, oil prices and government policies. Here are some potential trends and forecasts ¹ ² ³:
- *Short-term forecast*: By the end of 2025, the ruble's average exchange rate might be around 98-102 rubles per USD, with a possible strengthening to 95 rubles/USD in the first quarter and weakening to 105-110 rubles/USD by year's end.
- *Mid-term forecast*: For October 2025, the USD to RUB forecast predicts an average rate of 73.59 rubles, with a high of 74.99 and a low of 71.65. By the end of October, the forecast suggests a rate of 72.74 rubles, representing a 3% change.
- *Factors influencing the ruble*:
- *Sanctions*: The US and EU sanctions on Russia's financial sector limit its access to major traded currencies, contributing to the ruble's volatility.
- *Oil prices*: As a major oil exporter, Russia's economy is heavily influenced by global oil prices, which can impact the ruble's value.
- *Government policies*: The Russian Central Bank's actions, such as raising interest rates or intervening in the forex market, can affect the ruble's value.
- *Trade dynamics*: Russia's reorientation of trade flows to the East, particularly with China, may lead to greater reliance on the yuan and impact the ruble's value.
Keep in mind that forecasting currency exchange rates is challenging due to the complex interplay of these factors. The ruble's value may fluctuate significantly in response to changing economic conditions and government policies.